Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife Cilia Flores were seized and transported to New York to face longstanding federal charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking. He pleaded not guilty at initial court appearances, with subsequent hearings extending detention into March and April. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including the release of hundreds of political prisoners, while Venezuelan officials have publicly demanded Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic pressure, trial scheduling, and any potential plea discussions or extradition talks remain the primary variables shaping expectations for resolution timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,631,348 Vol.
2026/01/31
12月31日
14%
$2,631,348 Vol.
12月31日
$235,899 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife Cilia Flores were seized and transported to New York to face longstanding federal charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking. He pleaded not guilty at initial court appearances, with subsequent hearings extending detention into March and April. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including the release of hundreds of political prisoners, while Venezuelan officials have publicly demanded Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic pressure, trial scheduling, and any potential plea discussions or extradition talks remain the primary variables shaping expectations for resolution timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
音量
$2,631,348終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife Cilia Flores were seized and transported to New York to face longstanding federal charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking. He pleaded not guilty at initial court appearances, with subsequent hearings extending detention into March and April. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including the release of hundreds of political prisoners, while Venezuelan officials have publicly demanded Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic pressure, trial scheduling, and any potential plea discussions or extradition talks remain the primary variables shaping expectations for resolution timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,631,348終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas, where he and his wife Cilia Flores were seized and transported to New York to face longstanding federal charges of narco-terrorism and drug trafficking. He pleaded not guilty at initial court appearances, with subsequent hearings extending detention into March and April. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez has pursued cooperation with Washington, including the release of hundreds of political prisoners, while Venezuelan officials have publicly demanded Maduro’s immediate return. Diplomatic pressure, trial scheduling, and any potential plea discussions or extradition talks remain the primary variables shaping expectations for resolution timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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