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icon for OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？
テクノロジー·OpenAI

OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？

icon for OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？
テクノロジー·OpenAI

OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？

$49,883 Vol.

2027/12/31
3.25%を獲得
Polymarket

$49,883 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 2027年12月31日

2027年12月31日

$28,768 Vol.

8%

icon for 2028年12月31日

2028年12月31日

$9,380 Vol.

16%

icon for 2029年12月31日

2029年12月31日

$11,735 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI faces intense scrutiny over its path to profitability amid projections of $278 billion in negative free cash flow through 2030, driven by $856 billion in planned compute and infrastructure spending even as revenue scales from $36 billion this year toward $350 billion in 2030. The company burned $3.7 billion in Q1 2026 alone against $5.7 billion revenue, following a record $122 billion March funding round at an $852 billion valuation that analysts expect to deplete by 2028. Recent GPT-6 Astra model releases and enterprise expansions like ChatGPT for Financial Services demonstrate advancing large language model capabilities, yet CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety concerns in delaying any 2026 IPO after a confidential filing. Traders weigh sustained investor appetite for additional rounds—potentially at $1.2 trillion-plus valuations—against competitive pressures from Anthropic and lower-cost rivals, with a potential 2027 public listing as the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,883
終了日
2030/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI faces intense scrutiny over its path to profitability amid projections of $278 billion in negative free cash flow through 2030, driven by $856 billion in planned compute and infrastructure spending even as revenue scales from $36 billion this year toward $350 billion in 2030. The company burned $3.7 billion in Q1 2026 alone against $5.7 billion revenue, following a record $122 billion March funding round at an $852 billion valuation that analysts expect to deplete by 2028. Recent GPT-6 Astra model releases and enterprise expansions like ChatGPT for Financial Services demonstrate advancing large language model capabilities, yet CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety concerns in delaying any 2026 IPO after a confidential filing. Traders weigh sustained investor appetite for additional rounds—potentially at $1.2 trillion-plus valuations—against competitive pressures from Anthropic and lower-cost rivals, with a potential 2027 public listing as the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$49,883
終了日
2030/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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「OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2029年12月31日」で20%、次いで「2028年12月31日」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、20¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に20%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？」は$49.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Sep 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「OpenAIが破産を発表したのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2029年12月31日」で20%であり、市場がこの結果に20%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2028年12月31日」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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