Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日プーチン大統領は8月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する？
プーチン大統領は8月31日までにイラン当局者と会談する？
はい
>99% 確率
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
2026/08/31
はい
>99% 確率
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
2026/08/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$263,480終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$263,480終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
最終結果: はい
Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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