Polymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$70～$80 33.0%
80～90ドル 17%
$60-$70 16.7%
90～100ドル 11%
$585,702 Vol.
$585,702 Vol.
2026/06/30
50ドル未満
2%
$50～$60
3%
$60-$70
17%
$70～$80
33%
80～90ドル
17%
90～100ドル
11%
$100〜$115
9%
115ドル超
7%
$70～$80 33.0%
80～90ドル 17%
$60-$70 16.7%
90～100ドル 11%
$585,702 Vol.
$585,702 Vol.
2026/06/30
50ドル未満
$87,823 Vol.
2%
$50～$60
$65,394 Vol.
3%
$60-$70
$65,157 Vol.
17%
$70～$80
$52,716 Vol.
33%
80～90ドル
$32,283 Vol.
17%
90～100ドル
$37,542 Vol.
11%
$100〜$115
$44,526 Vol.
9%
115ドル超
$200,307 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
音量
$585,702終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
音量
$585,702終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETPolymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問