June Comex gold futures (GC) trade around $4,700 per ounce, anchoring trader consensus toward the $4,600-$5,000 outcome at 33% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting heightened uncertainty over the metal's path through month-end settlement. A 16% pullback from January's $5,590 peak stems from a firmer U.S. dollar index and mixed geopolitical signals, including vessel seizures offsetting de-escalation hopes in the Middle East, which have tempered safe-haven demand. Persistent central bank purchases and sticky inflation data provide tailwinds, while real yields and upcoming CPI releases plus FOMC communications represent key swing factors that could differentiate outcomes amid elevated volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4,600~5,000ドル 34%
$4,200~$4,600 28.0%
$5,000〜$5,400 16.7%
$5,400〜$5,800 9%
$945,170 Vol.
$945,170 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
1%
$3,800~$4,200
8%
$4,200~$4,600
28%
4,600~5,000ドル
34%
$5,000〜$5,400
17%
$5,400〜$5,800
9%
5,800~6,200ドル
2%
6,200ドル超
2%
4,600~5,000ドル 34%
$4,200~$4,600 28.0%
$5,000〜$5,400 16.7%
$5,400〜$5,800 9%
$945,170 Vol.
$945,170 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
1%
$3,800~$4,200
8%
$4,200~$4,600
28%
4,600~5,000ドル
34%
$5,000〜$5,400
17%
$5,400〜$5,800
9%
5,800~6,200ドル
2%
6,200ドル超
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
June Comex gold futures (GC) trade around $4,700 per ounce, anchoring trader consensus toward the $4,600-$5,000 outcome at 33% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting heightened uncertainty over the metal's path through month-end settlement. A 16% pullback from January's $5,590 peak stems from a firmer U.S. dollar index and mixed geopolitical signals, including vessel seizures offsetting de-escalation hopes in the Middle East, which have tempered safe-haven demand. Persistent central bank purchases and sticky inflation data provide tailwinds, while real yields and upcoming CPI releases plus FOMC communications represent key swing factors that could differentiate outcomes amid elevated volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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