Trader sentiment in the S&P 500 end-of-2026 close market shows the >$8,000 outcome leading at 39.5% amid the index trading near 7,750 in mid-August, fueled by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 24% for 2026 and ongoing AI-driven capital expenditures. Recent analyst revisions, including Goldman Sachs lifting its year-end target to 8,000, reflect resilient economic data and expectations for Federal Reserve policy support as inflation moderates. Market-implied odds price in continued equity gains from current levels, though narrow leadership concentration and potential geopolitical or energy price shocks introduce uncertainty around whether momentum sustains above 8,000 or settles in the $7,500–$8,000 range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,000ドル超 35%
7,500~8,000ドル 21%
7,000~7,500ドル 16%
6,500〜7,000ドル 12%
$39,542 Vol.
$39,542 Vol.
6,000ドル未満
6%
6,000~6,500ドル
8%
6,500〜7,000ドル
12%
7,000~7,500ドル
16%
7,500~8,000ドル
21%
8,000ドル超
40%
8,000ドル超 35%
7,500~8,000ドル 21%
7,000~7,500ドル 16%
6,500〜7,000ドル 12%
$39,542 Vol.
$39,542 Vol.
6,000ドル未満
6%
6,000~6,500ドル
8%
6,500〜7,000ドル
12%
7,000~7,500ドル
16%
7,500~8,000ドル
21%
8,000ドル超
40%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Trader sentiment in the S&P 500 end-of-2026 close market shows the >$8,000 outcome leading at 39.5% amid the index trading near 7,750 in mid-August, fueled by robust corporate earnings growth projected at 24% for 2026 and ongoing AI-driven capital expenditures. Recent analyst revisions, including Goldman Sachs lifting its year-end target to 8,000, reflect resilient economic data and expectations for Federal Reserve policy support as inflation moderates. Market-implied odds price in continued equity gains from current levels, though narrow leadership concentration and potential geopolitical or energy price shocks introduce uncertainty around whether momentum sustains above 8,000 or settles in the $7,500–$8,000 range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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