Robust corporate earnings growth and expectations for accommodative Federal Reserve policy continue to anchor trader sentiment, positioning the >$8,000 S&P 500 close at end-2026 as the leading outcome with a 38.0% market-implied probability. Recent inflation readings and labor market indicators have supported a steady rate path, sustaining elevated equity valuations near current levels. The combined 60.5% probability across the two highest buckets reflects optimism around revenue expansion and margin resilience, while the 17.5% odds on $7,000–$7,500 highlight downside risks from any sharper policy tightening or growth slowdown ahead of upcoming economic releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,000ドル超 38%
7,500～8,000ドル 23%
7,000～7,500ドル 18%
6,500〜7,000ドル 10%
$40,121 Vol.
$40,121 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
8%
6,000～6,500ドル
6%
6,500〜7,000ドル
10%
7,000～7,500ドル
18%
7,500～8,000ドル
23%
8,000ドル超
38%
8,000ドル超 38%
7,500～8,000ドル 23%
7,000～7,500ドル 18%
6,500〜7,000ドル 10%
$40,121 Vol.
$40,121 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
$20,717 Vol.
8%
6,000～6,500ドル
$2,312 Vol.
6%
6,500〜7,000ドル
$4,408 Vol.
10%
7,000～7,500ドル
$2,534 Vol.
18%
7,500～8,000ドル
$4,060 Vol.
23%
8,000ドル超
$6,090 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust corporate earnings growth and expectations for accommodative Federal Reserve policy continue to anchor trader sentiment, positioning the >$8,000 S&P 500 close at end-2026 as the leading outcome with a 38.0% market-implied probability. Recent inflation readings and labor market indicators have supported a steady rate path, sustaining elevated equity valuations near current levels. The combined 60.5% probability across the two highest buckets reflects optimism around revenue expansion and margin resilience, while the 17.5% odds on $7,000–$7,500 highlight downside risks from any sharper policy tightening or growth slowdown ahead of upcoming economic releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
音量
$40,121終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust corporate earnings growth and expectations for accommodative Federal Reserve policy continue to anchor trader sentiment, positioning the >$8,000 S&P 500 close at end-2026 as the leading outcome with a 38.0% market-implied probability. Recent inflation readings and labor market indicators have supported a steady rate path, sustaining elevated equity valuations near current levels. The combined 60.5% probability across the two highest buckets reflects optimism around revenue expansion and margin resilience, while the 17.5% odds on $7,000–$7,500 highlight downside risks from any sharper policy tightening or growth slowdown ahead of upcoming economic releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$40,121終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETRobust corporate earnings growth and expectations for accommodative Federal Reserve policy continue to anchor trader sentiment, positioning the >$8,000 S&P 500 close at end-2026 as the leading outcome with a 38.0% market-implied probability. Recent inflation readings and labor market indicators have supported a steady rate path, sustaining elevated equity valuations near current levels. The combined 60.5% probability across the two highest buckets reflects optimism around revenue expansion and margin resilience, while the 17.5% odds on $7,000–$7,500 highlight downside risks from any sharper policy tightening or growth slowdown ahead of upcoming economic releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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