**No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 is the prevailing trader view at 76%.** The two oldest justices—Samuel Alito (76) and Clarence Thomas (78)—have directly signaled they intend to remain. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, Alito stated he is “here for another term,” after hiring clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term and rejecting retirement speculation. Thomas has shown similar continuity through extended clerk hiring and reporting. The standard end-of-term retirement window in June/July 2026 passed without announcements, and the remaining seven justices (all younger) have issued no contrary signals. With no health developments or official departures as of mid-September, the market reflects the absence of concrete triggers for a vacancy before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$19,113 Vol.
$19,113 Vol.
はい
$19,113 Vol.
$19,113 Vol.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 is the prevailing trader view at 76%.** The two oldest justices—Samuel Alito (76) and Clarence Thomas (78)—have directly signaled they intend to remain. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, Alito stated he is “here for another term,” after hiring clerks for the October 2026–June 2027 term and rejecting retirement speculation. Thomas has shown similar continuity through extended clerk hiring and reporting. The standard end-of-term retirement window in June/July 2026 passed without announcements, and the remaining seven justices (all younger) have issued no contrary signals. With no health developments or official departures as of mid-September, the market reflects the absence of concrete triggers for a vacancy before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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