Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9 range at 69%, reflecting recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics (around 40% as of May 13) and others like Marist (37%) and Pew (34%), amid a sustained second-term slump. The dominant driver is backlash over the ongoing Iran war, which has spiked gas prices and eroded support on the economy—Trump's disapproval on gas prices hit record highs per CNN data, with overall disapproval reaching 62% in an ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll earlier this month. Even Republican strong approval dipped to 45%, signaling broader dissatisfaction six months before midterms, though independents and base voters remain key variables ahead of any late-May surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.5–38.9 74%
38.0–38.4 21.7%
39.0–39.4 5.0%
<38.0 1.2%
$18,996 Vol.
$18,996 Vol.
2026/05/15
<38.0
1%
38.0–38.4
28%
38.5–38.9
69%
39.0–39.4
5%
39.5–39.9
1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 74%
38.0–38.4 21.7%
39.0–39.4 5.0%
<38.0 1.2%
$18,996 Vol.
$18,996 Vol.
2026/05/15
<38.0
$2,778 Vol.
1%
38.0–38.4
$3,811 Vol.
28%
38.5–38.9
$4,444 Vol.
69%
39.0–39.4
$3,984 Vol.
5%
39.5–39.9
$2,308 Vol.
1%
40.0+
$1,671 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9 range at 69%, reflecting recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics (around 40% as of May 13) and others like Marist (37%) and Pew (34%), amid a sustained second-term slump. The dominant driver is backlash over the ongoing Iran war, which has spiked gas prices and eroded support on the economy—Trump's disapproval on gas prices hit record highs per CNN data, with overall disapproval reaching 62% in an ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll earlier this month. Even Republican strong approval dipped to 45%, signaling broader dissatisfaction six months before midterms, though independents and base voters remain key variables ahead of any late-May surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
音量
$18,996終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9 range at 69%, reflecting recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics (around 40% as of May 13) and others like Marist (37%) and Pew (34%), amid a sustained second-term slump. The dominant driver is backlash over the ongoing Iran war, which has spiked gas prices and eroded support on the economy—Trump's disapproval on gas prices hit record highs per CNN data, with overall disapproval reaching 62% in an ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll earlier this month. Even Republican strong approval dipped to 45%, signaling broader dissatisfaction six months before midterms, though independents and base voters remain key variables ahead of any late-May surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$18,996終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating in the 38.5–38.9 range at 69%, reflecting recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics (around 40% as of May 13) and others like Marist (37%) and Pew (34%), amid a sustained second-term slump. The dominant driver is backlash over the ongoing Iran war, which has spiked gas prices and eroded support on the economy—Trump's disapproval on gas prices hit record highs per CNN data, with overall disapproval reaching 62% in an ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos poll earlier this month. Even Republican strong approval dipped to 45%, signaling broader dissatisfaction six months before midterms, though independents and base voters remain key variables ahead of any late-May surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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