Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$335K - $340K 37%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル 18.3%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル 14%
$345K以上 8%
$76,756 Vol.
$76,756 Vol.
32万ドル未満
1%
32万ドル~32万5千ドル
1%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル
11%
$330K - $335K
6%
$335K - $340K
37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル
14%
$345K以上
8%
$335K - $340K 37%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル 18.3%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル 14%
$345K以上 8%
$76,756 Vol.
$76,756 Vol.
32万ドル未満
1%
32万ドル~32万5千ドル
1%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル
11%
$330K - $335K
6%
$335K - $340K
37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル
14%
$345K以上
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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