As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.45%, up roughly 40 basis points from its February low amid rising 10-year Treasury yields driven by the Iran conflict, elevated oil prices, and persistent inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve’s pause on further rate cuts, with markets now pricing only a 30% chance of a hike by year-end, has kept longer-term yields anchored near 4.4%, limiting downside pressure on mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the rate will remain in the 6.1%–6.3% range through the rest of 2026, though any decisive cooling in CPI or PCE data could reopen room for modest easing toward 6%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,755 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.00％
36%
↑ 6.75%
49%
↑ 6.50％
76%
↓ 5.90%
44%
↓ 5.70％
38%
↓ 5.50%
52%
$49,755 Vol.
↑ 7.00％
$26 Vol.
36%
↑ 6.75%
$118 Vol.
49%
↑ 6.50％
$6,700 Vol.
76%
↓ 5.90%
$6,005 Vol.
44%
↓ 5.70％
$6,769 Vol.
38%
↓ 5.50%
$25 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.45%, up roughly 40 basis points from its February low amid rising 10-year Treasury yields driven by the Iran conflict, elevated oil prices, and persistent inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve’s pause on further rate cuts, with markets now pricing only a 30% chance of a hike by year-end, has kept longer-term yields anchored near 4.4%, limiting downside pressure on mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the rate will remain in the 6.1%–6.3% range through the rest of 2026, though any decisive cooling in CPI or PCE data could reopen room for modest easing toward 6%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$49,755終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.45%, up roughly 40 basis points from its February low amid rising 10-year Treasury yields driven by the Iran conflict, elevated oil prices, and persistent inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve’s pause on further rate cuts, with markets now pricing only a 30% chance of a hike by year-end, has kept longer-term yields anchored near 4.4%, limiting downside pressure on mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the rate will remain in the 6.1%–6.3% range through the rest of 2026, though any decisive cooling in CPI or PCE data could reopen room for modest easing toward 6%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$49,755終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.45%, up roughly 40 basis points from its February low amid rising 10-year Treasury yields driven by the Iran conflict, elevated oil prices, and persistent inflation expectations. The Federal Reserve’s pause on further rate cuts, with markets now pricing only a 30% chance of a hike by year-end, has kept longer-term yields anchored near 4.4%, limiting downside pressure on mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project the rate will remain in the 6.1%–6.3% range through the rest of 2026, though any decisive cooling in CPI or PCE data could reopen room for modest easing toward 6%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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