Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield currently near 4.65-4.70%, remain anchored in the mid-6% range as of mid-August 2026, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.67% per Freddie Mac. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—exacerbated by elevated oil prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict—has prompted the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with some officials favoring hikes. This policy stance, alongside resilient labor market data, has limited downward pressure on borrowing costs despite earlier 2025 easing. Trader sentiment on 2026 thresholds reflects these dynamics, with upcoming CPI releases, employment reports, and FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift the yield curve and mortgage pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.50％
41%
↑ 7.25%
44%
↑ 7.00％
49%
↑ 6.75%
84%
↓ 6.50%
41%
↓ 6.25％
37%
↓ 6.00％
39%
↓ 5.90%
19%
↓ 5.70％
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,730 Vol.
↑ 7.50％
$0 Vol.
41%
↑ 7.25%
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ 7.00％
$64 Vol.
49%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
84%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
41%
↓ 6.25％
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 6.00％
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
19%
↓ 5.70％
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield currently near 4.65-4.70%, remain anchored in the mid-6% range as of mid-August 2026, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.67% per Freddie Mac. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—exacerbated by elevated oil prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict—has prompted the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with some officials favoring hikes. This policy stance, alongside resilient labor market data, has limited downward pressure on borrowing costs despite earlier 2025 easing. Trader sentiment on 2026 thresholds reflects these dynamics, with upcoming CPI releases, employment reports, and FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift the yield curve and mortgage pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield currently near 4.65-4.70%, remain anchored in the mid-6% range as of mid-August 2026, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.67% per Freddie Mac. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—exacerbated by elevated oil prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict—has prompted the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with some officials favoring hikes. This policy stance, alongside resilient labor market data, has limited downward pressure on borrowing costs despite earlier 2025 easing. Trader sentiment on 2026 thresholds reflects these dynamics, with upcoming CPI releases, employment reports, and FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift the yield curve and mortgage pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield currently near 4.65-4.70%, remain anchored in the mid-6% range as of mid-August 2026, with the 30-year fixed averaging 6.67% per Freddie Mac. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target—exacerbated by elevated oil prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict—has prompted the FOMC to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75%, with some officials favoring hikes. This policy stance, alongside resilient labor market data, has limited downward pressure on borrowing costs despite earlier 2025 easing. Trader sentiment on 2026 thresholds reflects these dynamics, with upcoming CPI releases, employment reports, and FOMC decisions serving as key catalysts that could shift the yield curve and mortgage pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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