Recent 30-year fixed mortgage rates hover near 6.67-6.71 percent as of mid-August 2026, influenced primarily by the 10-year Treasury yield, inflation trajectory, and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Mortgage rates track longer-term bond yields more closely than the federal funds rate, with spreads reflecting prepayment and credit risk; recent stability follows earlier volatility tied to geopolitical tensions and mixed labor-market data. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls for signals on rate-cut timing, while noting that any sustained drop below 6 percent would require clearer disinflation or dovish policy shifts. Market-implied odds embed the current consensus that rates will likely remain in the mid-6 percent range through year-end absent major economic surprises.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.50％
47%
↑ 7.25%
50%
↑ 7.00％
49%
↑ 6.75%
84%
↓ 6.50%
40%
↓ 6.25％
44%
↓ 6.00％
47%
↓ 5.90%
18%
↓ 5.70％
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,730 Vol.
↑ 7.50％
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ 7.25%
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 7.00％
$64 Vol.
49%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
84%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
40%
↓ 6.25％
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 6.00％
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
18%
↓ 5.70％
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent 30-year fixed mortgage rates hover near 6.67-6.71 percent as of mid-August 2026, influenced primarily by the 10-year Treasury yield, inflation trajectory, and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Mortgage rates track longer-term bond yields more closely than the federal funds rate, with spreads reflecting prepayment and credit risk; recent stability follows earlier volatility tied to geopolitical tensions and mixed labor-market data. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls for signals on rate-cut timing, while noting that any sustained drop below 6 percent would require clearer disinflation or dovish policy shifts. Market-implied odds embed the current consensus that rates will likely remain in the mid-6 percent range through year-end absent major economic surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent 30-year fixed mortgage rates hover near 6.67-6.71 percent as of mid-August 2026, influenced primarily by the 10-year Treasury yield, inflation trajectory, and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Mortgage rates track longer-term bond yields more closely than the federal funds rate, with spreads reflecting prepayment and credit risk; recent stability follows earlier volatility tied to geopolitical tensions and mixed labor-market data. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls for signals on rate-cut timing, while noting that any sustained drop below 6 percent would require clearer disinflation or dovish policy shifts. Market-implied odds embed the current consensus that rates will likely remain in the mid-6 percent range through year-end absent major economic surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent 30-year fixed mortgage rates hover near 6.67-6.71 percent as of mid-August 2026, influenced primarily by the 10-year Treasury yield, inflation trajectory, and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Mortgage rates track longer-term bond yields more closely than the federal funds rate, with spreads reflecting prepayment and credit risk; recent stability follows earlier volatility tied to geopolitical tensions and mixed labor-market data. Traders monitor upcoming FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and nonfarm payrolls for signals on rate-cut timing, while noting that any sustained drop below 6 percent would require clearer disinflation or dovish policy shifts. Market-implied odds embed the current consensus that rates will likely remain in the mid-6 percent range through year-end absent major economic surprises.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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