Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
1.18 - 1.187m 25%
1.173 - 1.18m 21%
1.194 - 1.209m 17%
1.166 - 1.173m 13%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<1.166m
11%
1.166 - 1.173m
13%
1.173 - 1.18m
20%
1.18 - 1.187m
25%
1.187 - 1.194m
53%
1.194 - 1.209m
17%
>1.209m
6%
1.18 - 1.187m 25%
1.173 - 1.18m 21%
1.194 - 1.209m 17%
1.166 - 1.173m 13%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
<1.166m
$0 Vol.
11%
1.166 - 1.173m
$0 Vol.
13%
1.173 - 1.18m
$60 Vol.
20%
1.18 - 1.187m
$100 Vol.
25%
1.187 - 1.194m
$210 Vol.
53%
1.194 - 1.209m
$40 Vol.
17%
>1.209m
$54 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$463終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
音量
$463終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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