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icon for 9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

icon for 9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

$1.176M未満 58%

$1.176M - $1.198M 34%

$1.198M - $1.220M 7%

$1.220M〜$1.242M 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,788 Vol.

$1.176M未満 58%

$1.176M - $1.198M 34%

$1.198M - $1.220M 7%

$1.220M〜$1.242M 6.4%

Polymarket

$36,788 Vol.

$1.176M未満

$14,621 Vol.

58%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$13,837 Vol.

34%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$1,816 Vol.

7%

$1.220M〜$1.242M

$1,808 Vol.

6%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$2,731 Vol.

6%

$1.264M~$1.284M

$904 Vol.

<1%

1.284百万ドル以上

$1,072 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent median home value data for the San Francisco metro area, including Zillow indices near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area figures around $1.2–1.3 million as of July 2026, anchor trader sentiment toward the sub-$1.198 million range. Persistent low inventory, AI-driven wealth effects boosting luxury demand, and constrained supply continue to support prices, yet moderating year-over-year gains and typical seasonal patterns through late summer point to limited upside by September 30 resolution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with higher bins priced at single-digit levels amid uncertainty over mortgage rates and tech employment trends.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
音量
$36,788
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent median home value data for the San Francisco metro area, including Zillow indices near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area figures around $1.2–1.3 million as of July 2026, anchor trader sentiment toward the sub-$1.198 million range. Persistent low inventory, AI-driven wealth effects boosting luxury demand, and constrained supply continue to support prices, yet moderating year-over-year gains and typical seasonal patterns through late summer point to limited upside by September 30 resolution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with higher bins priced at single-digit levels amid uncertainty over mortgage rates and tech employment trends.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
音量
$36,788
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$1.176M未満」で58%、次いで「$1.176M - $1.198M」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、58¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に58%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」は$36.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「$1.176M未満」で58%であり、市場がこの結果に58%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$1.176M - $1.198M」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月30日にサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。