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icon for 10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?

10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?

icon for 10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?

10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?

Anthropic 64%

OpenAI 34%

ムーンショット 2.6%

アリババ 1.3%

Polymarket
新規

Anthropic 64%

OpenAI 34%

ムーンショット 2.6%

アリババ 1.3%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$2,918 Vol.

64%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$114 Vol.

34%

icon for ムーンショット

ムーンショット

$101 Vol.

3%

icon for アリババ

アリババ

$106 Vol.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$124 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$126 Vol.

1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$121 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$129 Vol.

1%

icon for アマゾン

アマゾン

$125 Vol.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$106 Vol.

1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$116 Vol.

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$122 Vol.

1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for 美団(Meituan)

美団(Meituan)

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for Google

Google

$76 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$92 Vol.

<1%

icon for ミストラル

ミストラル

$134 Vol.

<1%

icon for マイクロソフト

マイクロソフト

$134 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads the market at 63.5% implied probability due to its targeted advances in reliable agentic systems, including the April 2026 launch of Claude Managed Agents for rapid enterprise deployment and May's Code with Claude features like multi-agent orchestration and Cowork desktop tools. These build on Claude's strengths in long-context reasoning, precise instruction-following, and tool use for complex workflows, as shown in recent comparisons where it outperforms OpenAI on agent benchmarks and coding tasks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% thanks to its ChatGPT Operator and GPT-5 series ecosystem, which excel in multimodal breadth but lag in consistent multi-step autonomy. Other labs remain far behind amid slower agent-specific progress. Key catalysts through October include potential new model releases, developer conferences, and benchmark updates that could shift trader views on production-ready capabilities.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$4,916
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads the market at 63.5% implied probability due to its targeted advances in reliable agentic systems, including the April 2026 launch of Claude Managed Agents for rapid enterprise deployment and May's Code with Claude features like multi-agent orchestration and Cowork desktop tools. These build on Claude's strengths in long-context reasoning, precise instruction-following, and tool use for complex workflows, as shown in recent comparisons where it outperforms OpenAI on agent benchmarks and coding tasks. OpenAI trails at 33.5% thanks to its ChatGPT Operator and GPT-5 series ecosystem, which excel in multimodal breadth but lag in consistent multi-step autonomy. Other labs remain far behind amid slower agent-specific progress. Key catalysts through October include potential new model releases, developer conferences, and benchmark updates that could shift trader views on production-ready capabilities.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$4,916
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?」はPolymarket上の18個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Anthropic」で64%、次いで「OpenAI」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、64¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に64%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 12, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている18個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Anthropic」で64%であり、市場がこの結果に64%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「OpenAI」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「10月末にAIエージェントが最も優れているのはどの会社ですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。