Skip to main content
icon for Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Politics·Eric Adams

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

icon for Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Politics·Eric Adams

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

新規
2026/12/31
Polymarket

$2,174 Vol.

Polymarket

Israel

$0 Vol.

16%

China

$22 Vol.

11%

Sudan

$2,082 Vol.

10%

Russia

$70 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. Former NYC Mayor Eric Adams received Albanian citizenship and a passport in April 2026 through a presidential decree issued at his request, following a prior visit and public comments praising the country. This development established a precedent for honorary or expedited grants tied to personal outreach rather than standard naturalization processes. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, market pricing on remaining options such as Sudan, Israel, China, and Russia reflects trader assessments of Adams’ ongoing legal pressures in the U.S., his stated interest in relocating abroad, and the relative openness of certain nations to dual citizenship or special decrees. No additional grants have been confirmed since April, leaving probabilities sensitive to any new diplomatic signals or applications before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,174
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. Former NYC Mayor Eric Adams received Albanian citizenship and a passport in April 2026 through a presidential decree issued at his request, following a prior visit and public comments praising the country. This development established a precedent for honorary or expedited grants tied to personal outreach rather than standard naturalization processes. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, market pricing on remaining options such as Sudan, Israel, China, and Russia reflects trader assessments of Adams’ ongoing legal pressures in the U.S., his stated interest in relocating abroad, and the relative openness of certain nations to dual citizenship or special decrees. No additional grants have been confirmed since April, leaving probabilities sensitive to any new diplomatic signals or applications before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,174
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Israel」で17%、次いで「China」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 14, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Israel」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「China」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。