Trader sentiment in the TI 2026 hero announcement market heavily favors "no hero" at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting Valve's recent silence on reveals despite ongoing patch 7.41 cycles and datamined files for Arjun. Leaks placing the chariot-riding hero on test servers since late 2025 have not translated into official teasers or balance notes during the Shanghai main event, leading crowds to price in a delayed rollout amid typical post-TI content windows. Multi-outcome options like A, B, C, and Other at 50% capture broad uncertainty over any surprise drop, while Arjun at 25.5% and any different hero at 11.5% show limited conviction in immediate confirmation. Recent qualifier drafts and roster news have not altered this positioning, underscoring how Valve's unpredictable hero pipeline shapes the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日no hero 64%
Arjun 31%
Any different hero 9%
$14,203 Vol.
$14,203 Vol.
no hero
64%
Arjun
26%
Any different hero
12%
no hero 64%
Arjun 31%
Any different hero 9%
$14,203 Vol.
$14,203 Vol.
no hero
64%
Arjun
26%
Any different hero
12%
If Valve announces more than one new hero, this market will resolve to "Other".
If The International 2026 is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve Corporation via official Dota 2 channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Valve announces more than one new hero, this market will resolve to "Other".
If The International 2026 is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve Corporation via official Dota 2 channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the TI 2026 hero announcement market heavily favors "no hero" at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting Valve's recent silence on reveals despite ongoing patch 7.41 cycles and datamined files for Arjun. Leaks placing the chariot-riding hero on test servers since late 2025 have not translated into official teasers or balance notes during the Shanghai main event, leading crowds to price in a delayed rollout amid typical post-TI content windows. Multi-outcome options like A, B, C, and Other at 50% capture broad uncertainty over any surprise drop, while Arjun at 25.5% and any different hero at 11.5% show limited conviction in immediate confirmation. Recent qualifier drafts and roster news have not altered this positioning, underscoring how Valve's unpredictable hero pipeline shapes the wisdom-of-crowds consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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