Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun and mass production is ramping for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 lineup. Despite minor engineering delays pushing initial timelines from June to August, analysts like Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirm the project remains on track, bolstered by Samsung's exclusive foldable OLED panels and dual ultra-thin glass to minimize display creases. Leaks highlight a book-style design with a 5.5-inch cover screen expanding to 7.8 inches, iPad-like multitasking via iOS 27, and features like Touch ID. With new CEO John Ternus overseeing the launch, traders see limited risk of slippage into 2027, though historical product delays warrant caution ahead of Apple's fall event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$161,071 Vol.
$161,071 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$161,071 Vol.
$161,071 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun and mass production is ramping for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 lineup. Despite minor engineering delays pushing initial timelines from June to August, analysts like Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirm the project remains on track, bolstered by Samsung's exclusive foldable OLED panels and dual ultra-thin glass to minimize display creases. Leaks highlight a book-style design with a 5.5-inch cover screen expanding to 7.8 inches, iPad-like multitasking via iOS 27, and features like Touch ID. With new CEO John Ternus overseeing the launch, traders see limited risk of slippage into 2027, though historical product delays warrant caution ahead of Apple's fall event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$161,071終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun and mass production is ramping for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 lineup. Despite minor engineering delays pushing initial timelines from June to August, analysts like Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirm the project remains on track, bolstered by Samsung's exclusive foldable OLED panels and dual ultra-thin glass to minimize display creases. Leaks highlight a book-style design with a 5.5-inch cover screen expanding to 7.8 inches, iPad-like multitasking via iOS 27, and features like Touch ID. With new CEO John Ternus overseeing the launch, traders see limited risk of slippage into 2027, though historical product delays warrant caution ahead of Apple's fall event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$161,071終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April supply chain reports confirming trial production has begun and mass production is ramping for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 lineup. Despite minor engineering delays pushing initial timelines from June to August, analysts like Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirm the project remains on track, bolstered by Samsung's exclusive foldable OLED panels and dual ultra-thin glass to minimize display creases. Leaks highlight a book-style design with a 5.5-inch cover screen expanding to 7.8 inches, iPad-like multitasking via iOS 27, and features like Touch ID. With new CEO John Ternus overseeing the launch, traders see limited risk of slippage into 2027, though historical product delays warrant caution ahead of Apple's fall event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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