The closely matched trader consensus around 50% for leading candidates in this Bogotá-specific runoff market reflects Colombia’s polarized national contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of the June 21 vote. Bogotá’s large urban electorate, historically supportive of the left and current President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, remains a key swing area where turnout, endorsements from eliminated first-round contenders such as Paloma Valencia and Sergio Fajardo, and final-week campaigning could shift margins. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9%, underscoring regional divides that keep the capital’s outcome uncertain despite Cepeda’s structural advantages there. Late developments including coalition negotiations or security incidents could still alter local dynamics before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$38,207 거래량
$38,207 거래량

이반 세페다 카스트로
49%

아벨라도 데 라 에스프리에야
46%
$38,207 거래량
$38,207 거래량

이반 세페다 카스트로
49%

아벨라도 데 라 에스프리에야
46%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around 50% for leading candidates in this Bogotá-specific runoff market reflects Colombia’s polarized national contest between leftist Iván Cepeda Castro and right-wing Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of the June 21 vote. Bogotá’s large urban electorate, historically supportive of the left and current President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, remains a key swing area where turnout, endorsements from eliminated first-round contenders such as Paloma Valencia and Sergio Fajardo, and final-week campaigning could shift margins. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9%, underscoring regional divides that keep the capital’s outcome uncertain despite Cepeda’s structural advantages there. Late developments including coalition negotiations or security incidents could still alter local dynamics before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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