Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트200-219 44.9%
220-239 34.2%
180-199 8.3%
240-259 7.2%
$9,965,732 거래량
$9,965,732 거래량
2026.05.19
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
8%
200-219
45%
220-239
34%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 44.9%
220-239 34.2%
180-199 8.3%
240-259 7.2%
$9,965,732 거래량
$9,965,732 거래량
2026.05.19
140-159
$725,464 거래량
<1%
160-179
$534,596 거래량
<1%
180-199
$414,069 거래량
8%
200-219
$394,125 거래량
45%
220-239
$426,503 거래량
34%
240-259
$335,585 거래량
7%
260-279
$313,617 거래량
3%
280-299
$286,372 거래량
1%
300-319
$331,947 거래량
<1%
320-339
$406,298 거래량
<1%
340-359
$432,852 거래량
<1%
360-379
$416,804 거래량
<1%
380-399
$400,329 거래량
<1%
400-419
$561,173 거래량
<1%
420-439
$166,557 거래량
<1%
440-459
$82,158 거래량
<1%
460-479
$67,054 거래량
<1%
480-499
$29,200 거래량
<1%
500+
$242,680 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET
거래량
$9,965,732종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$9,965,732종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 200-219 tweets for Elon Musk on X from May 12-19, holding a 44.9% implied probability, followed closely by 220-239 at 34.2%. This positioning stems from his steady daily output of roughly 25-30 posts amid ongoing xAI product drops, SpaceX commentary, and cultural debates, mirroring verified tallies from prior weeks that settled in the low 100s for seven-day spans. Momentum has held without major spikes from elections or launches, though late-week activity on Grok updates and platform milestones could nudge totals higher before the May 19 cutoff. Historical patterns show Musk moderating volume absent breaking news, yet his unpredictable style keeps adjacent bins competitive for traders weighing real-money signals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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