Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$473,005 거래량
2026.05.31
May 16
87%
May 17
87%
May 18
88%
May 19
88%
May 20
88%
May 21
89%
May 22
91%
May 23
90%
May 24
89%
May 25
89%
May 26
87%
May 27
88%
May 28
86%
May 29
86%
May 30
88%
May 31
87%
$473,005 거래량
May 16
$5,198 거래량
87%
May 17
$5,905 거래량
87%
May 18
$1,617 거래량
88%
May 19
$1,137 거래량
88%
May 20
$1,059 거래량
88%
May 21
$455 거래량
89%
May 22
$702 거래량
91%
May 23
$104 거래량
90%
May 24
$433 거래량
89%
May 25
$608 거래량
89%
May 26
$689 거래량
87%
May 27
$1,003 거래량
88%
May 28
$501 거래량
86%
May 29
$378 거래량
86%
May 30
$96 거래량
88%
May 31
$369 거래량
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
거래량
$473,005종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$473,005종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's public statements and social media activity have long featured direct criticisms of political opponents, media outlets, and foreign leaders, shaping trader assessments of whether a specific insult occurs within the resolution window. Recent policy announcements on trade, immigration, and executive actions provide frequent platforms for such remarks, with traders tracking live coverage of rallies, interviews, and official addresses. Historical patterns show elevated odds during high-stakes periods like legislative pushes or diplomatic summits, while quieter intervals reduce the probability. Any scheduled events within the market timeframe, including congressional hearings or international meetings, remain key variables that could trigger or avoid the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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