Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트180~199 23%
200~219 19.6%
160~179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,379,194 거래량
$4,379,194 거래량
2026.05.22
60~79
<1%
80~99
<1%
100~119
<1%
120~139
1%
140~159
8%
160~179
17%
180~199
23%
200~219
20%
220-239
13%
240~259
8%
260~279
4%
280~299
2%
300~319
2%
320~339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460~479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500+
<1%
180~199 23%
200~219 19.6%
160~179 17%
220-239 12.8%
$4,379,194 거래량
$4,379,194 거래량
2026.05.22
60~79
$260,849 거래량
<1%
80~99
$282,843 거래량
<1%
100~119
$248,930 거래량
<1%
120~139
$181,198 거래량
1%
140~159
$169,952 거래량
8%
160~179
$136,264 거래량
17%
180~199
$114,019 거래량
23%
200~219
$161,138 거래량
20%
220-239
$156,367 거래량
13%
240~259
$117,165 거래량
8%
260~279
$128,006 거래량
4%
280~299
$119,008 거래량
2%
300~319
$144,500 거래량
2%
320~339
$123,947 거래량
<1%
340-359
$145,991 거래량
<1%
360-379
$136,455 거래량
<1%
380~399
$161,140 거래량
<1%
400~419
$168,844 거래량
<1%
420-439
$238,020 거래량
<1%
440~459
$121,203 거래량
<1%
460~479
$125,876 거래량
<1%
480~499
$168,834 거래량
<1%
500+
$269,821 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$4,379,194종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$4,379,194종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges as the tightest contest for Elon Musk’s X activity through May 22, with implied probabilities of 22.5% and 19.6% reflecting his historically variable weekly volume. Musk’s posting often accelerates during product updates or public debates yet dips in quieter stretches without major Tesla or SpaceX news, creating the current deadlock. Key differentiators include any late-week announcements or real-time responses that could push totals higher, while steady but unspectacular engagement metrics keep lower bins in play. The final days of the window remain the primary swing factor as platform activity and external events continue to influence daily output.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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