Trader consensus heavily favors the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of moderate daily activity on X during typical weeks. Recent posts on topics like Tesla FSD safety milestones, X platform milestones exceeding one billion downloads, and cultural commentary have sustained steady engagement without the high-volume bursts often tied to major product launches or controversies. This aligns with historical three-day windows where his output clusters in the low-to-mid teens per day, driven by replies, quotes, and occasional original threads rather than sustained campaigns. With the period concluding shortly, traders appear to be pricing in continuity over sudden spikes, though any breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트40~64 71%
65-89 28%
90~114 1.5%
115~139 <1%
$899,243 거래량
$899,243 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
<1%
40~64
71%
65-89
28%
90~114
2%
115~139
<1%
140~164
<1%
165~189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40~64 71%
65-89 28%
90~114 1.5%
115~139 <1%
$899,243 거래량
$899,243 거래량
2026.05.18
40개 미만
$345,114 거래량
<1%
40~64
$84,548 거래량
71%
65-89
$87,851 거래량
28%
90~114
$110,882 거래량
2%
115~139
$92,108 거래량
<1%
140~164
$61,120 거래량
<1%
165~189
$53,265 거래량
<1%
190-214
$37,343 거래량
<1%
215-239
$15,853 거래량
<1%
240+
$18,696 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of moderate daily activity on X during typical weeks. Recent posts on topics like Tesla FSD safety milestones, X platform milestones exceeding one billion downloads, and cultural commentary have sustained steady engagement without the high-volume bursts often tied to major product launches or controversies. This aligns with historical three-day windows where his output clusters in the low-to-mid teens per day, driven by replies, quotes, and occasional original threads rather than sustained campaigns. With the period concluding shortly, traders appear to be pricing in continuity over sudden spikes, though any breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$899,243종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of moderate daily activity on X during typical weeks. Recent posts on topics like Tesla FSD safety milestones, X platform milestones exceeding one billion downloads, and cultural commentary have sustained steady engagement without the high-volume bursts often tied to major product launches or controversies. This aligns with historical three-day windows where his output clusters in the low-to-mid teens per day, driven by replies, quotes, and occasional original threads rather than sustained campaigns. With the period concluding shortly, traders appear to be pricing in continuity over sudden spikes, though any breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$899,243종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, reflecting his established pattern of moderate daily activity on X during typical weeks. Recent posts on topics like Tesla FSD safety milestones, X platform milestones exceeding one billion downloads, and cultural commentary have sustained steady engagement without the high-volume bursts often tied to major product launches or controversies. This aligns with historical three-day windows where his output clusters in the low-to-mid teens per day, driven by replies, quotes, and occasional original threads rather than sustained campaigns. With the period concluding shortly, traders appear to be pricing in continuity over sudden spikes, though any breaking Tesla or SpaceX developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문