The tightly clustered probabilities around the 800–959 tweet range for Elon Musk on X in May 2026 highlight trader consensus that his posting volume will stay in a moderate band shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments. Recent business updates, regulatory filings, and public appearances have kept his activity steady without the spikes seen during major product launches or political moments, while historical monthly averages on the platform show similar pacing when news cycles remain balanced. Upcoming earnings reports and any high-profile statements could nudge the final count higher or lower, but the current market-implied odds reflect a competitive field where small shifts in daily engagement or platform algorithm changes remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트920-959 11.3%
840-879 10.0%
800-839 9.3%
880-919 9.1%
$3,198,548 거래량
$3,198,548 거래량
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680~699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
9%
840-879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160~1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1,280~1,319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400~1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480~1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560~1599
<1%
1600~1679
<1%
1680~1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
920-959 11.3%
840-879 10.0%
800-839 9.3%
880-919 9.1%
$3,198,548 거래량
$3,198,548 거래량
340-359
<1%
360~379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560~579
<1%
580~599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680~699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
9%
840-879
10%
880-919
9%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000~1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160~1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1,280~1,319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400~1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480~1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560~1599
<1%
1600~1679
<1%
1680~1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000개 이상
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around the 800–959 tweet range for Elon Musk on X in May 2026 highlight trader consensus that his posting volume will stay in a moderate band shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments. Recent business updates, regulatory filings, and public appearances have kept his activity steady without the spikes seen during major product launches or political moments, while historical monthly averages on the platform show similar pacing when news cycles remain balanced. Upcoming earnings reports and any high-profile statements could nudge the final count higher or lower, but the current market-implied odds reflect a competitive field where small shifts in daily engagement or platform algorithm changes remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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