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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?
정치·문화

Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?
정치·문화

Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?

Ended: 5월 15

5월 19

5월 22

5월 26

Ended: 5월 15

5월 19

5월 22

5월 26

140~159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20~39 <1%

40~59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,408,024 거래량

140~159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20~39 <1%

40~59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,408,024 거래량

<20

$81,572 거래량

아니오

20~39

$216,988 거래량

아니오

40~59

$1,113,353 거래량

아니오

60~79

$985,520 거래량

아니오

80~99

$1,996,557 거래량

아니오

100~119

$1,011,099 거래량

아니오

120~139

$1,101,040 거래량

아니오

140~159

$1,104,427 거래량

예

160~179

$1,245,166 거래량

아니오

180-199

$1,010,026 거래량

아니오

200~219

$741,191 거래량

아니오

220~239

$630,534 거래량

아니오

240~259

$406,327 거래량

아니오

260~279

$273,443 거래량

아니오

280~299

$209,007 거래량

아니오

300-319

$209,078 거래량

아니오

320-339

$194,069 거래량

아니오

340~359

$66,533 거래량

아니오

360-379

$71,558 거래량

아니오

380~399

$68,097 거래량

아니오

400~419

$59,977 거래량

아니오

420-439

$120,221 거래량

아니오

440~459

$92,854 거래량

아니오

460~479

$118,300 거래량

아니오

480~499

$88,095 거래량

아니오

500+

$192,994 거래량

아니오

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$13,408,024
종료일
2026.05.15
마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

정산 출처

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$13,408,024
종료일
2026.05.15
마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

정산 출처

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

결과 제안됨: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?"은 26개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "140~159"이며, 이어서 0%의 "<20"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?"은 총 $13.4 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 5, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 26개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "140~159"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 0%의 "<20"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026년 5월 8일 - 5월 15일?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.