Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026, at a 48.1% implied probability for 100-119 total, with 120-139 close behind at 31.4%, reflecting 43 confirmed posts through roughly six days elapsed and a mid-teens daily average so far. This positioning stems from Elon's consistent but moderated activity amid packed schedules—visiting Intel fabs, Starship static fires, Mother's Day shoutouts, and a French prosecutorial probe sparking multilingual clapbacks—tempering his typical high-volume bursts seen in prior weeks like May 1-8's 100-119 resolution. With three days left, traders anticipate steady cultural commentary on politics, AI, and space without explosive surges, though his Air Force One trip to Beijing alongside Jensen Huang could influence final momentum before the May 15 close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트100~119 48.2%
120~139 31.2%
80~99 12.2%
140~159 7.4%
$7,379,316 거래량
$7,379,316 거래량
80~99
12%
100~119
48%
120~139
31%
140~159
7%
160~179
2%
180-199
1%
200~219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340~359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460~479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500+
<1%
100~119 48.2%
120~139 31.2%
80~99 12.2%
140~159 7.4%
$7,379,316 거래량
$7,379,316 거래량
80~99
12%
100~119
48%
120~139
31%
140~159
7%
160~179
2%
180-199
1%
200~219
<1%
220~239
<1%
240~259
<1%
260~279
<1%
280~299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340~359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380~399
<1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440~459
<1%
460~479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026, at a 48.1% implied probability for 100-119 total, with 120-139 close behind at 31.4%, reflecting 43 confirmed posts through roughly six days elapsed and a mid-teens daily average so far. This positioning stems from Elon's consistent but moderated activity amid packed schedules—visiting Intel fabs, Starship static fires, Mother's Day shoutouts, and a French prosecutorial probe sparking multilingual clapbacks—tempering his typical high-volume bursts seen in prior weeks like May 1-8's 100-119 resolution. With three days left, traders anticipate steady cultural commentary on politics, AI, and space without explosive surges, though his Air Force One trip to Beijing alongside Jensen Huang could influence final momentum before the May 15 close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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