Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
Israel 12%
Australia 11%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

Israel
12%

Australia
11%

Denmark
11%

France
8%

Italy
5%

Bulgaria
5%

Sweden
5%

Malta
5%

Moldova
5%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Norway
4%

Cyprus
4%

Croatia
4%

Lithuania
4%

Belgium
4%

Germany
3%

Serbia
3%

Czechia
3%

Latvia
3%

Azerbaijan
3%

Austria
3%

Poland
3%

Albania
3%

Armenia
3%

Georgia
1%

Portugal
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Montenegro
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
<1%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
Israel 12%
Australia 11%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

Israel
12%

Australia
11%

Denmark
11%

France
8%

Italy
5%

Bulgaria
5%

Sweden
5%

Malta
5%

Moldova
5%

Romania
5%

Ukraine
4%

Norway
4%

Cyprus
4%

Croatia
4%

Lithuania
4%

Belgium
4%

Germany
3%

Serbia
3%

Czechia
3%

Latvia
3%

Azerbaijan
3%

Austria
3%

Poland
3%

Albania
3%

Armenia
3%

Georgia
1%

Portugal
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Montenegro
1%

Estonia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
<1%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 third place at 20.5% implied probability following a standout Semi-Final 1 performance of "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, showcasing polished staging, powerhouse vocals, and OGAE poll dominance that solidified podium momentum. Greece trails closely at 14% with Akylas' "Ferto" earning televote buzz for its dramatic flair, while Australia and Denmark tie at 13.5%, buoyed by diaspora strength and strong jury appeal ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Competitive dynamics hinge on jury-televote splits, Nordic voting blocs, and diaspora mobilization, with Israel and France lurking; running order draw post-SF2 and Saturday's Grand Final could spark shifts in this tight race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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