Finland holds a commanding 44.2% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominated rehearsals and Semi-Final 1 with its high-energy rock-pop fusion and live violin— a rare EBU exception that amplified stage impact and broad jury-televote appeal. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 11.2%) and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle," 7.3%) solidified positions via strong qualifiers amid protests, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 13.5%) shines as a jury powerhouse and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem," 9.4%) builds momentum pre-Semi-Final 2. Tonight's second semi-final and Saturday's Grand Final in Vienna could reshape trader sentiment, with historical first-half draw advantages favoring Finland.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 44.5%
호주 15.0%
그리스 11.2%
덴마크 9.1%
$163,249,666 거래량
$163,249,666 거래량
핀란드
45%
호주
15%
그리스
11%
덴마크
9%
이스라엘
7%
프랑스
3%
루마니아
2%
불가리아
2%
이탈리아
2%
체코
1%
우크라이나
1%
몰타
1%
몰도바
1%
크로아티아
1%
스웨덴
1%
키프로스
<1%
세르비아
<1%
알바니아
<1%
독일
<1%
룩셈부르크
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
폴란드
<1%
영국
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
라트비아
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
스위스
<1%
핀란드 44.5%
호주 15.0%
그리스 11.2%
덴마크 9.1%
$163,249,666 거래량
$163,249,666 거래량
핀란드
45%
호주
15%
그리스
11%
덴마크
9%
이스라엘
7%
프랑스
3%
루마니아
2%
불가리아
2%
이탈리아
2%
체코
1%
우크라이나
1%
몰타
1%
몰도바
1%
크로아티아
1%
스웨덴
1%
키프로스
<1%
세르비아
<1%
알바니아
<1%
독일
<1%
룩셈부르크
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
폴란드
<1%
영국
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
라트비아
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
스위스
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland holds a commanding 44.2% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner after Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominated rehearsals and Semi-Final 1 with its high-energy rock-pop fusion and live violin— a rare EBU exception that amplified stage impact and broad jury-televote appeal. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto," 11.2%) and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle," 7.3%) solidified positions via strong qualifiers amid protests, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 13.5%) shines as a jury powerhouse and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem," 9.4%) builds momentum pre-Semi-Final 2. Tonight's second semi-final and Saturday's Grand Final in Vienna could reshape trader sentiment, with historical first-half draw advantages favoring Finland.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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