Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by second semi-final qualifiers announced yesterday—bolstering a wide-open field with standouts like Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") advancing alongside frontrunner Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 46% winner odds). This setup echoes recent races like 2024's 44-point Switzerland win and 2025's 79-point Austrian triumph, where jury-televote splits prevented blowouts amid strong staging and rehearsals. A sub-25 point squeaker (20.5%) would demand rare alignment like 2019's one-point thriller, while 50+ gaps hinge on dominant televote surges despite Israel controversy polarizing public sentiment; final running order and Saturday's vote reveal remain pivotal swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
11%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
5%
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 11%
신규
신규
2026.05.16
<25
$719 거래량
21%
25-49
$1,931 거래량
35%
50-74
$781 거래량
24%
75-99
$757 거래량
11%
100-124
$852 거래량
6%
125-149
$890 거래량
5%
150+
$1,167 거래량
5%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by second semi-final qualifiers announced yesterday—bolstering a wide-open field with standouts like Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") advancing alongside frontrunner Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 46% winner odds). This setup echoes recent races like 2024's 44-point Switzerland win and 2025's 79-point Austrian triumph, where jury-televote splits prevented blowouts amid strong staging and rehearsals. A sub-25 point squeaker (20.5%) would demand rare alignment like 2019's one-point thriller, while 50+ gaps hinge on dominant televote surges despite Israel controversy polarizing public sentiment; final running order and Saturday's vote reveal remain pivotal swing factors.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
거래량
$7,097종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by second semi-final qualifiers announced yesterday—bolstering a wide-open field with standouts like Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") advancing alongside frontrunner Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 46% winner odds). This setup echoes recent races like 2024's 44-point Switzerland win and 2025's 79-point Austrian triumph, where jury-televote splits prevented blowouts amid strong staging and rehearsals. A sub-25 point squeaker (20.5%) would demand rare alignment like 2019's one-point thriller, while 50+ gaps hinge on dominant televote surges despite Israel controversy polarizing public sentiment; final running order and Saturday's vote reveal remain pivotal swing factors.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$7,097종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a moderate 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's grand final, driven by second semi-final qualifiers announced yesterday—bolstering a wide-open field with standouts like Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") and Bulgaria's DARA ("Bangaranga") advancing alongside frontrunner Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin," 46% winner odds). This setup echoes recent races like 2024's 44-point Switzerland win and 2025's 79-point Austrian triumph, where jury-televote splits prevented blowouts amid strong staging and rehearsals. A sub-25 point squeaker (20.5%) would demand rare alignment like 2019's one-point thriller, while 50+ gaps hinge on dominant televote surges despite Israel controversy polarizing public sentiment; final running order and Saturday's vote reveal remain pivotal swing factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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