Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% market-implied odds to win the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, fueled by breathtaking dress rehearsal staging with epic visuals amplifying the song's dramatic rock edge, topping press center polls and fan rankings ahead of the May 12 live show in Vienna. Greece's Akylas with the pulsating "Ferro" (14%) and Israel's Noam Bettan delivering powerhouse vocals on "Michelle" (14%) trail closely, buoyed by strong televote potential from diaspora blocs and consistent bookmaker favoritism matching trader sentiment. Croatia's entry holds at 6% on alliance votes, while recent family rehearsals confirmed frontrunner momentum; full jury-televote tallies post-qualifiers could shift dynamics before Saturday's Grand Final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Finland 67%
Greece 14%
Israel 14%
Croatia 6.1%
$203,977 거래량
$203,977 거래량
2026.05.12
Finland
67%
Greece
14%
Israel
14%
Croatia
6%
Lithuania
3%
Moldova
3%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Poland
<1%
Georgia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Finland 67%
Greece 14%
Israel 14%
Croatia 6.1%
$203,977 거래량
$203,977 거래량
2026.05.12
Finland
$24,583 거래량
67%
Greece
$18,894 거래량
14%
Israel
$12,466 거래량
14%
Croatia
$22,115 거래량
6%
Lithuania
$13,757 거래량
3%
Moldova
$24,922 거래량
3%
Serbia
$10,985 거래량
<1%
Sweden
$13,920 거래량
<1%
Poland
$14,890 거래량
<1%
Georgia
$8,374 거래량
<1%
San Marino
$7,360 거래량
<1%
Belgium
$7,799 거래량
<1%
Estonia
$7,600 거래량
<1%
Montenegro
$7,147 거래량
<1%
Portugal
$9,164 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% market-implied odds to win the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, fueled by breathtaking dress rehearsal staging with epic visuals amplifying the song's dramatic rock edge, topping press center polls and fan rankings ahead of the May 12 live show in Vienna. Greece's Akylas with the pulsating "Ferro" (14%) and Israel's Noam Bettan delivering powerhouse vocals on "Michelle" (14%) trail closely, buoyed by strong televote potential from diaspora blocs and consistent bookmaker favoritism matching trader sentiment. Croatia's entry holds at 6% on alliance votes, while recent family rehearsals confirmed frontrunner momentum; full jury-televote tallies post-qualifiers could shift dynamics before Saturday's Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
거래량
$203,977종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% market-implied odds to win the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, fueled by breathtaking dress rehearsal staging with epic visuals amplifying the song's dramatic rock edge, topping press center polls and fan rankings ahead of the May 12 live show in Vienna. Greece's Akylas with the pulsating "Ferro" (14%) and Israel's Noam Bettan delivering powerhouse vocals on "Michelle" (14%) trail closely, buoyed by strong televote potential from diaspora blocs and consistent bookmaker favoritism matching trader sentiment. Croatia's entry holds at 6% on alliance votes, while recent family rehearsals confirmed frontrunner momentum; full jury-televote tallies post-qualifiers could shift dynamics before Saturday's Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$203,977종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 66.5% market-implied odds to win the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final, fueled by breathtaking dress rehearsal staging with epic visuals amplifying the song's dramatic rock edge, topping press center polls and fan rankings ahead of the May 12 live show in Vienna. Greece's Akylas with the pulsating "Ferro" (14%) and Israel's Noam Bettan delivering powerhouse vocals on "Michelle" (14%) trail closely, buoyed by strong televote potential from diaspora blocs and consistent bookmaker favoritism matching trader sentiment. Croatia's entry holds at 6% on alliance votes, while recent family rehearsals confirmed frontrunner momentum; full jury-televote tallies post-qualifiers could shift dynamics before Saturday's Grand Final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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