Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% for Trump and Xi Jinping kissing at their Beijing summit, reflecting entrenched diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in U.S.-China state visits that emphasize formal handshakes over physical affection between male leaders. President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of the May 14-15 bilateral talks focused on trade tensions, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and rare earths deals, with no announcements or precedents suggesting deviation from standard etiquette seen in their prior summits. Historical base rates show zero instances of such gestures, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented breach like a staged photo-op or medical emergency could shift odds, though traders price this as negligible amid high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
신규
$1,037,746 거래량
신규
$1,037,746 거래량
2026.05.15
예
신규
$1,037,746 거래량
신규
$1,037,746 거래량
2026.05.15
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% for Trump and Xi Jinping kissing at their Beijing summit, reflecting entrenched diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in U.S.-China state visits that emphasize formal handshakes over physical affection between male leaders. President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of the May 14-15 bilateral talks focused on trade tensions, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and rare earths deals, with no announcements or precedents suggesting deviation from standard etiquette seen in their prior summits. Historical base rates show zero instances of such gestures, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented breach like a staged photo-op or medical emergency could shift odds, though traders price this as negligible amid high-stakes diplomacy.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,037,746종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% for Trump and Xi Jinping kissing at their Beijing summit, reflecting entrenched diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in U.S.-China state visits that emphasize formal handshakes over physical affection between male leaders. President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of the May 14-15 bilateral talks focused on trade tensions, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and rare earths deals, with no announcements or precedents suggesting deviation from standard etiquette seen in their prior summits. Historical base rates show zero instances of such gestures, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented breach like a staged photo-op or medical emergency could shift odds, though traders price this as negligible amid high-stakes diplomacy.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
거래량
$1,038,358종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.4% for Trump and Xi Jinping kissing at their Beijing summit, reflecting entrenched diplomatic protocols and cultural norms in U.S.-China state visits that emphasize formal handshakes over physical affection between male leaders. President Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13, 2026, ahead of the May 14-15 bilateral talks focused on trade tensions, the Iran conflict, Taiwan, and rare earths deals, with no announcements or precedents suggesting deviation from standard etiquette seen in their prior summits. Historical base rates show zero instances of such gestures, reinforcing near-certainty; only an unprecedented breach like a staged photo-op or medical emergency could shift odds, though traders price this as negligible amid high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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