Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no hug between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping at their ongoing Beijing summit, now at 98.4% implied probability, driven by formal diplomatic protocol observed in initial greetings—a standard handshake amid a troop parade and official welcomes—as captured in live coverage. Xi's characteristically reserved demeanor, rooted in Chinese state traditions, contrasts Trump's occasionally effusive style, with no hugs in their prior G20 and bilateral encounters. Trump's mid-April jest about a "big fat hug" has been interpreted as rhetorical flourish amid trade, Taiwan, and Iran tensions dominating talks. Realistic shifts could stem from an impromptu candid moment in private bilateral sessions through May 15, though barriers remain high given structured summit choreography.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$117,252 거래량
$117,252 거래량
2026.05.15
$117,252 거래량
$117,252 거래량
2026.05.15
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no hug between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping at their ongoing Beijing summit, now at 98.4% implied probability, driven by formal diplomatic protocol observed in initial greetings—a standard handshake amid a troop parade and official welcomes—as captured in live coverage. Xi's characteristically reserved demeanor, rooted in Chinese state traditions, contrasts Trump's occasionally effusive style, with no hugs in their prior G20 and bilateral encounters. Trump's mid-April jest about a "big fat hug" has been interpreted as rhetorical flourish amid trade, Taiwan, and Iran tensions dominating talks. Realistic shifts could stem from an impromptu candid moment in private bilateral sessions through May 15, though barriers remain high given structured summit choreography.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
거래량
$117,252종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no hug between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping at their ongoing Beijing summit, now at 98.4% implied probability, driven by formal diplomatic protocol observed in initial greetings—a standard handshake amid a troop parade and official welcomes—as captured in live coverage. Xi's characteristically reserved demeanor, rooted in Chinese state traditions, contrasts Trump's occasionally effusive style, with no hugs in their prior G20 and bilateral encounters. Trump's mid-April jest about a "big fat hug" has been interpreted as rhetorical flourish amid trade, Taiwan, and Iran tensions dominating talks. Realistic shifts could stem from an impromptu candid moment in private bilateral sessions through May 15, though barriers remain high given structured summit choreography.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China for a summit with Xi Jinping around May 14-15, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The summit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. The summit ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory.
This market may resolve once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the summit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
거래량
$118,006종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no hug between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping at their ongoing Beijing summit, now at 98.4% implied probability, driven by formal diplomatic protocol observed in initial greetings—a standard handshake amid a troop parade and official welcomes—as captured in live coverage. Xi's characteristically reserved demeanor, rooted in Chinese state traditions, contrasts Trump's occasionally effusive style, with no hugs in their prior G20 and bilateral encounters. Trump's mid-April jest about a "big fat hug" has been interpreted as rhetorical flourish amid trade, Taiwan, and Iran tensions dominating talks. Realistic shifts could stem from an impromptu candid moment in private bilateral sessions through May 15, though barriers remain high given structured summit choreography.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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