Finland's commanding 66.5% implied probability as frontrunner for topping the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final stems from standout dress rehearsals and their high-energy "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which secured rare EBU permission for live strings and dominated fan reactions with fiery staging. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") trail at 14.5% each, propelled by catchy pop hooks and emotional ballads that impressed in previews, while Croatia's girl group LELEK ("Andromeda") and Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") hold smaller shares on vibrant group dynamics and upbeat anthems. Following May 12 performances in Vienna, trader consensus reflects rehearsal buzz and YouTube view leaders, though full jury-televote breakdowns could spark shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Finland 67%
Greece 15%
Israel 15%
Croatia 5.1%
$199,166 거래량
$199,166 거래량
2026.05.12
Finland
67%
Greece
15%
Israel
15%
Croatia
5%
Moldova
3%
Lithuania
1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Poland
<1%
Georgia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Finland 67%
Greece 15%
Israel 15%
Croatia 5.1%
$199,166 거래량
$199,166 거래량
2026.05.12
Finland
$24,024 거래량
67%
Greece
$18,370 거래량
15%
Israel
$11,989 거래량
15%
Croatia
$20,713 거래량
5%
Moldova
$24,628 거래량
3%
Lithuania
$12,667 거래량
1%
Serbia
$10,985 거래량
<1%
Sweden
$13,920 거래량
<1%
Poland
$14,496 거래량
<1%
Georgia
$8,374 거래량
<1%
San Marino
$7,360 거래량
<1%
Belgium
$7,799 거래량
<1%
Estonia
$7,600 거래량
<1%
Montenegro
$7,147 거래량
<1%
Portugal
$9,164 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 66.5% implied probability as frontrunner for topping the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final stems from standout dress rehearsals and their high-energy "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which secured rare EBU permission for live strings and dominated fan reactions with fiery staging. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") trail at 14.5% each, propelled by catchy pop hooks and emotional ballads that impressed in previews, while Croatia's girl group LELEK ("Andromeda") and Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") hold smaller shares on vibrant group dynamics and upbeat anthems. Following May 12 performances in Vienna, trader consensus reflects rehearsal buzz and YouTube view leaders, though full jury-televote breakdowns could spark shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
거래량
$199,166종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 66.5% implied probability as frontrunner for topping the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final stems from standout dress rehearsals and their high-energy "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which secured rare EBU permission for live strings and dominated fan reactions with fiery staging. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") trail at 14.5% each, propelled by catchy pop hooks and emotional ballads that impressed in previews, while Croatia's girl group LELEK ("Andromeda") and Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") hold smaller shares on vibrant group dynamics and upbeat anthems. Following May 12 performances in Vienna, trader consensus reflects rehearsal buzz and YouTube view leaders, though full jury-televote breakdowns could spark shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$199,166종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's commanding 66.5% implied probability as frontrunner for topping the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final stems from standout dress rehearsals and their high-energy "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which secured rare EBU permission for live strings and dominated fan reactions with fiery staging. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") and Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle") trail at 14.5% each, propelled by catchy pop hooks and emotional ballads that impressed in previews, while Croatia's girl group LELEK ("Andromeda") and Moldova's Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!") hold smaller shares on vibrant group dynamics and upbeat anthems. Following May 12 performances in Vienna, trader consensus reflects rehearsal buzz and YouTube view leaders, though full jury-televote breakdowns could spark shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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