Finland holds a commanding lead as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner with nearly half the market-implied probability, driven by the high-energy disco track “Liekinheitin” from violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which has dominated bookmakers and prediction markets for months through strong rehearsals and consistent critical buzz. Australia’s surge to second place reflects Delta Goodrem’s polished pop entry “Eclipse,” which gained significant momentum after strong semi-final performances and international name recognition. Lower-tier contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to solid but less dominant showings in recent voting trends, while the grand final in Vienna tonight introduces last-minute jury and televote variables that could still produce an upset in this unpredictable contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 38.5%
호주 26.7%
불가리아 13.0%
이스라엘 7.2%
$187,582,993 거래량
$187,582,993 거래량

핀란드
39%

호주
27%

불가리아
13%

이스라엘
7%

그리스
3%

루마니아
2%

이탈리아
1%

우크라이나
1%

스웨덴
1%

몰도바
1%

덴마크
1%

프랑스
1%

크로아티아
<1%

몰타
<1%

알바니아
<1%

체코
<1%

키프로스
<1%

노르웨이
<1%

폴란드
<1%

세르비아
<1%

오스트리아
<1%

벨기에
<1%

독일
<1%

리투아니아
<1%

영국
<1%
핀란드 38.5%
호주 26.7%
불가리아 13.0%
이스라엘 7.2%
$187,582,993 거래량
$187,582,993 거래량

핀란드
39%

호주
27%

불가리아
13%

이스라엘
7%

그리스
3%

루마니아
2%

이탈리아
1%

우크라이나
1%

스웨덴
1%

몰도바
1%

덴마크
1%

프랑스
1%

크로아티아
<1%

몰타
<1%

알바니아
<1%

체코
<1%

키프로스
<1%

노르웨이
<1%

폴란드
<1%

세르비아
<1%

오스트리아
<1%

벨기에
<1%

독일
<1%

리투아니아
<1%

영국
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland holds a commanding lead as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner with nearly half the market-implied probability, driven by the high-energy disco track “Liekinheitin” from violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen, which has dominated bookmakers and prediction markets for months through strong rehearsals and consistent critical buzz. Australia’s surge to second place reflects Delta Goodrem’s polished pop entry “Eclipse,” which gained significant momentum after strong semi-final performances and international name recognition. Lower-tier contenders like Bulgaria, Israel, and Greece trail due to solid but less dominant showings in recent voting trends, while the grand final in Vienna tonight introduces last-minute jury and televote variables that could still produce an upset in this unpredictable contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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