Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 43.5%
호주 29.6%
이스라엘 7.8%
불가리아 6.6%
$181,440,245 거래량
$181,440,245 거래량
핀란드
44%
호주
30%
이스라엘
8%
불가리아
7%
그리스
6%
루마니아
3%
덴마크
2%
이탈리아
1%
우크라이나
1%
프랑스
1%
몰도바
1%
알바니아
<1%
크로아티아
<1%
스웨덴
<1%
몰타
<1%
체코
<1%
키프로스
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
폴란드
<1%
세르비아
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
독일
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
영국
<1%
핀란드 43.5%
호주 29.6%
이스라엘 7.8%
불가리아 6.6%
$181,440,245 거래량
$181,440,245 거래량
핀란드
44%
호주
30%
이스라엘
8%
불가리아
7%
그리스
6%
루마니아
3%
덴마크
2%
이탈리아
1%
우크라이나
1%
프랑스
1%
몰도바
1%
알바니아
<1%
크로아티아
<1%
스웨덴
<1%
몰타
<1%
체코
<1%
키프로스
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
폴란드
<1%
세르비아
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
독일
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
영국
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads the Eurovision 2026 market at 43.7% implied probability, driven by its standout rehearsals and semi-final performance of the theatrical disco track "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has solidified its status as the clear frontrunner ahead of Saturday’s Vienna grand final. Australia’s surge to 29.6% reflects Delta Goodrem’s star power and polished ballad “Eclipse,” which gained momentum after the second semi-final with strong staging and crossover appeal to both juries and televoters. Israel, Bulgaria, and Greece sit in the 6–7% range on solid but narrower support, while lower-placed entries like Denmark and Italy show limited late momentum. With the final just days away, any shift in running order, televote patterns, or jury preferences could still alter the tight middle pack.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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