Bulgaria’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 winner market reflects overwhelming trader consensus around Dara’s high-energy entry “Bangaranga,” which has generated exceptional rehearsal buzz and national-selection momentum heading into the Vienna final. Recent semi-final performances and positive industry feedback have solidified its frontrunner status, pushing implied probability well above 80 percent as bettors price in strong televote appeal and historical precedent for upbeat Balkan tracks. Israel sits as a distant second at 17.2 percent on the strength of Noam Bettan’s polished ballad “Michelle,” though it trails significantly amid competition from Australia and traditional powerhouses like Finland. With the grand final imminent, late jury and public-vote shifts remain the key swing factors in this rapidly tightening contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
불가리아 100.0%
우크라이나 <1%
알바니아 <1%
오스트리아 <1%
$192,277,846 거래량
$192,277,846 거래량
불가리아
100%
우크라이나
<1%
알바니아
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
크로아티아
<1%
체코
<1%
프랑스
<1%
독일
<1%
이스라엘
<1%
몰도바
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
스웨덴
<1%
호주
<1%
키프로스
<1%
덴마크
<1%
핀란드
<1%
그리스
<1%
이탈리아
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
몰타
<1%
폴란드
<1%
루마니아
<1%
세르비아
<1%
영국
<1%
불가리아 100.0%
우크라이나 <1%
알바니아 <1%
오스트리아 <1%
$192,277,846 거래량
$192,277,846 거래량
불가리아
100%
우크라이나
<1%
알바니아
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
크로아티아
<1%
체코
<1%
프랑스
<1%
독일
<1%
이스라엘
<1%
몰도바
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
스웨덴
<1%
호주
<1%
키프로스
<1%
덴마크
<1%
핀란드
<1%
그리스
<1%
이탈리아
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
몰타
<1%
폴란드
<1%
루마니아
<1%
세르비아
<1%
영국
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bulgaria’s commanding position in the Eurovision 2026 winner market reflects overwhelming trader consensus around Dara’s high-energy entry “Bangaranga,” which has generated exceptional rehearsal buzz and national-selection momentum heading into the Vienna final. Recent semi-final performances and positive industry feedback have solidified its frontrunner status, pushing implied probability well above 80 percent as bettors price in strong televote appeal and historical precedent for upbeat Balkan tracks. Israel sits as a distant second at 17.2 percent on the strength of Noam Bettan’s polished ballad “Michelle,” though it trails significantly amid competition from Australia and traditional powerhouses like Finland. With the grand final imminent, late jury and public-vote shifts remain the key swing factors in this rapidly tightening contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문