Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region under active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape charges and court non-appearance, with a judicial order barring him from departing the country. His supporters have sustained roadblocks and clashes with security forces amid broader protests against President Rodrigo Paz’s economic measures, elevating his visibility as an opposition figure without triggering confirmed exit. Paz’s administration has signaled intent to enforce legal accountability while navigating political instability and calls for dialogue. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects these enforcement barriers, Morales’ public vows to stay, and the absence of verified movement despite heightened tensions. Resolution hinges on any verified border crossing or asylum grant before specified cutoffs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,486 거래량

June 30
17%
$10,486 거래량

June 30
17%
In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region under active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape charges and court non-appearance, with a judicial order barring him from departing the country. His supporters have sustained roadblocks and clashes with security forces amid broader protests against President Rodrigo Paz’s economic measures, elevating his visibility as an opposition figure without triggering confirmed exit. Paz’s administration has signaled intent to enforce legal accountability while navigating political instability and calls for dialogue. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects these enforcement barriers, Morales’ public vows to stay, and the absence of verified movement despite heightened tensions. Resolution hinges on any verified border crossing or asylum grant before specified cutoffs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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