Mercedes drivers George Russell and Kimi Antonelli head the pole-position market, reflecting Mercedes' commanding early-season qualifying pace under the new 2026 regulations. Russell's 30.5% implied probability draws from his proven track record at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve, including last year's pole-to-win, while Antonelli's 22% accounts for his three consecutive poles converted to victories this year alongside strong practice form. Max Verstappen and the McLaren pair sit just behind, buoyed by potential Red Bull upgrades and McLaren's straight-line speed on Montreal's long straights, though both trail the Mercedes duo in recent one-lap pace. The tight spread among the top five underscores how qualifying at this wall-lined layout often hinges on minor setup tweaks and traffic management in the final sector.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 17%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
17%
Oscar Piastri
17%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
George Russell 31%
Kimi Antonelli 22%
Max Verstappen 19%
Lando Norris 17%
George Russell
31%
Kimi Antonelli
22%
Max Verstappen
19%
Lando Norris
17%
Oscar Piastri
17%
Charles Leclerc
12%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercedes drivers George Russell and Kimi Antonelli head the pole-position market, reflecting Mercedes' commanding early-season qualifying pace under the new 2026 regulations. Russell's 30.5% implied probability draws from his proven track record at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve, including last year's pole-to-win, while Antonelli's 22% accounts for his three consecutive poles converted to victories this year alongside strong practice form. Max Verstappen and the McLaren pair sit just behind, buoyed by potential Red Bull upgrades and McLaren's straight-line speed on Montreal's long straights, though both trail the Mercedes duo in recent one-lap pace. The tight spread among the top five underscores how qualifying at this wall-lined layout often hinges on minor setup tweaks and traffic management in the final sector.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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