The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four, where the top two sides from each group advance automatically to the Round of 32 along with the eight best third-placed teams. Qualification wrapped in early April with notable results including Bosnia and Herzegovina edging Italy in playoffs and first-time appearances for Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan. The December 2025 draw placed traditional powers such as Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and Germany into varied groups, creating clear favorites based on FIFA rankings and recent form while giving underdogs from CONCACAF and AFC realistic paths through favorable third-place tiebreakers. With the tournament opening in June, roster fitness and pre-tournament friendlies will influence implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,460 거래량
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
France
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Austria
88%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Saudi Arabia
60%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
45%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
34%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
Iraq
10%
Uzbekistan
45%
$11,460 거래량
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
France
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Austria
88%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Saudi Arabia
60%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
45%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
34%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
Iraq
10%
Uzbekistan
45%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four, where the top two sides from each group advance automatically to the Round of 32 along with the eight best third-placed teams. Qualification wrapped in early April with notable results including Bosnia and Herzegovina edging Italy in playoffs and first-time appearances for Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan. The December 2025 draw placed traditional powers such as Argentina, Brazil, France, England, and Germany into varied groups, creating clear favorites based on FIFA rankings and recent form while giving underdogs from CONCACAF and AFC realistic paths through favorable third-place tiebreakers. With the tournament opening in June, roster fitness and pre-tournament friendlies will influence implied probabilities reflected in trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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