The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial—declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge—has reinforced trader expectations that no additional prison time will be imposed. Already serving a 16-year California sentence for sexual assault convictions while appealing a related New York sexual-assault verdict from 2025, the 74-year-old producer has spent over five years incarcerated, much of it at Rikers Island amid documented health decline. Precursor outcomes, including the overturned 2020 conviction and mixed 2025 verdict, underscore how appeals and time-served credits frequently limit further exposure in high-profile cases. With the mistrial leaving the rape count unresolved and potential retrial timelines uncertain, market-implied odds reflect the strong likelihood that existing terms and legal challenges will prevent meaningful new incarceration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
하비 와인스타인 교도소 시간?
징역형 없음 83.6%
5년 미만 7.1%
5-10년 4.0%
10~20년 3.5%
$987,567 거래량
$987,567 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
84%
5년 미만
7%
5-10년
4%
10~20년
3%
20-30년
2%
30년 이상
2%
징역형 없음 83.6%
5년 미만 7.1%
5-10년 4.0%
10~20년 3.5%
$987,567 거래량
$987,567 거래량
2025.12.31
징역형 없음
$347,059 거래량
84%
5년 미만
$131,217 거래량
7%
5-10년
$79,622 거래량
4%
10~20년
$157,758 거래량
3%
20-30년
$199,445 거래량
2%
30년 이상
$72,465 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial—declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge—has reinforced trader expectations that no additional prison time will be imposed. Already serving a 16-year California sentence for sexual assault convictions while appealing a related New York sexual-assault verdict from 2025, the 74-year-old producer has spent over five years incarcerated, much of it at Rikers Island amid documented health decline. Precursor outcomes, including the overturned 2020 conviction and mixed 2025 verdict, underscore how appeals and time-served credits frequently limit further exposure in high-profile cases. With the mistrial leaving the rape count unresolved and potential retrial timelines uncertain, market-implied odds reflect the strong likelihood that existing terms and legal challenges will prevent meaningful new incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
거래량
$987,567종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial—declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge—has reinforced trader expectations that no additional prison time will be imposed. Already serving a 16-year California sentence for sexual assault convictions while appealing a related New York sexual-assault verdict from 2025, the 74-year-old producer has spent over five years incarcerated, much of it at Rikers Island amid documented health decline. Precursor outcomes, including the overturned 2020 conviction and mixed 2025 verdict, underscore how appeals and time-served credits frequently limit further exposure in high-profile cases. With the mistrial leaving the rape count unresolved and potential retrial timelines uncertain, market-implied odds reflect the strong likelihood that existing terms and legal challenges will prevent meaningful new incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$987,567종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape retrial—declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge—has reinforced trader expectations that no additional prison time will be imposed. Already serving a 16-year California sentence for sexual assault convictions while appealing a related New York sexual-assault verdict from 2025, the 74-year-old producer has spent over five years incarcerated, much of it at Rikers Island amid documented health decline. Precursor outcomes, including the overturned 2020 conviction and mixed 2025 verdict, underscore how appeals and time-served credits frequently limit further exposure in high-profile cases. With the mistrial leaving the rape count unresolved and potential retrial timelines uncertain, market-implied odds reflect the strong likelihood that existing terms and legal challenges will prevent meaningful new incarceration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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