Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 오스틴에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 16일 오스틴에서 가장 높은 기온?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 24%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
75°F 이하
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F 이상
<1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 24%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
75°F 이하
$115 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$191 거래량
1%
78-79°F
$11 거래량
3%
80-81°F
$0 거래량
9%
82-83°F
$320 거래량
11%
84-85°F
$104 거래량
24%
86-87°F
$41 거래량
32%
88-89°F
$0 거래량
16%
90-91°F
$0 거래량
9%
92-93°F
$16 거래량
2%
94°F 이상
$578 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
거래량
$1,376종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,376종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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