Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 16일 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
32°C 17%
35°C 9.6%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
28°C 이하
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
17%
33°C
35%
34°C
37%
35°C
10%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C 이상
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
32°C 17%
35°C 9.6%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
28°C 이하
$0 거래량
1%
29°C
$0 거래량
1%
30°C
$21 거래량
5%
31°C
$0 거래량
9%
32°C
$138 거래량
17%
33°C
$30 거래량
35%
34°C
$5 거래량
37%
35°C
$0 거래량
10%
36°C
$92 거래량
1%
37°C
$20 거래량
1%
38°C 이상
$28 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
거래량
$333종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$333종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETCurrent short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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