Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
7월 16일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
71°F 이하
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
1%
90°F 이상
1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
71°F 이하
$145 거래량
7%
72-73°F
$15 거래량
14%
74-75°F
$1 거래량
13%
76-77°F
$0 거래량
15%
78-79°F
$4 거래량
22%
80-81°F
$1 거래량
32%
82-83°F
$0 거래량
33%
84-85°F
$0 거래량
15%
86-87°F
$5 거래량
14%
88-89°F
$76 거래량
1%
90°F 이상
$115 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
거래량
$363종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$363종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETForecast models from NOAA and NHC indicate Miami's July 16 overnight low will likely settle near 80–81°F amid partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, keeping radiative cooling limited in the humid subtropical air mass. Sea-breeze moderation from the warm Atlantic and Gulf Stream, combined with typical urban heat island effects, supports this range, while scattered afternoon convection may reduce clear-sky cooling overnight. Historical July minima average 78°F, but current guidance shows slight model spread on cloud thickness and wind speed that could shift the low by 2–3°F either way. Traders are pricing tight probabilities across 78–83°F bins because fresh model runs and local observations offer no decisive edge on exact minimum thresholds before the 24-hour window closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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