Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in London on July 1?
Highest temperature in London on July 1?
25°C 40%
24°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.01
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
40%
26°C
23%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 40%
24°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.07.01
21°C or below
$98 거래량
1%
22°C
$82 거래량
2%
23°C
$73 거래량
3%
24°C
$219 거래량
26%
25°C
$419 거래량
40%
26°C
$153 거래량
23%
27°C
$188 거래량
8%
28°C
$73 거래량
1%
29°C
$93 거래량
1%
30°C
$130 거래량
<1%
31°C or higher
$601 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$2,129종료일
2026.07.01마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,129종료일
2026.07.01마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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