**Persistent high-pressure dominance and warm advection from subtropical air masses underpin the tight clustering around 36–37°C for Madrid’s June 30 maximum.** Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate continued clear skies and strong daytime insolation through the end of the month, following an intense late-June heatwave that produced several days above 38°C. Subtle model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of the Iberian high creates the near-even split between 36°C (41.5%) and 37°C (40.0%), with lower probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflecting uncertainty in whether modest Atlantic moisture or slight wind shifts will cap the peak. Historical June climatology for Retiro station shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the amplified ridge. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and AEMET updates most heavily ahead of the final 24-hour verification window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 30?
37°C 51%
36°C 35%
38°C 13%
35°C 3.9%
신규
$15,421 거래량
신규
$15,421 거래량
2026.06.30
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
35%
37°C
51%
38°C
13%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 51%
36°C 35%
38°C 13%
35°C 3.9%
신규
$15,421 거래량
신규
$15,421 거래량
2026.06.30
31°C or below
$985 거래량
<1%
32°C
$518 거래량
<1%
33°C
$564 거래량
<1%
34°C
$611 거래량
1%
35°C
$940 거래량
4%
36°C
$1,332 거래량
35%
37°C
$7,969 거래량
51%
38°C
$1,015 거래량
13%
39°C
$808 거래량
2%
40°C
$619 거래량
<1%
41°C or higher
$544 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance and warm advection from subtropical air masses underpin the tight clustering around 36–37°C for Madrid’s June 30 maximum.** Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate continued clear skies and strong daytime insolation through the end of the month, following an intense late-June heatwave that produced several days above 38°C. Subtle model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of the Iberian high creates the near-even split between 36°C (41.5%) and 37°C (40.0%), with lower probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflecting uncertainty in whether modest Atlantic moisture or slight wind shifts will cap the peak. Historical June climatology for Retiro station shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the amplified ridge. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and AEMET updates most heavily ahead of the final 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$15,421종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance and warm advection from subtropical air masses underpin the tight clustering around 36–37°C for Madrid’s June 30 maximum.** Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate continued clear skies and strong daytime insolation through the end of the month, following an intense late-June heatwave that produced several days above 38°C. Subtle model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of the Iberian high creates the near-even split between 36°C (41.5%) and 37°C (40.0%), with lower probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflecting uncertainty in whether modest Atlantic moisture or slight wind shifts will cap the peak. Historical June climatology for Retiro station shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the amplified ridge. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and AEMET updates most heavily ahead of the final 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$15,421종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Persistent high-pressure dominance and warm advection from subtropical air masses underpin the tight clustering around 36–37°C for Madrid’s June 30 maximum.** Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble forecasts indicate continued clear skies and strong daytime insolation through the end of the month, following an intense late-June heatwave that produced several days above 38°C. Subtle model spread in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of the Iberian high creates the near-even split between 36°C (41.5%) and 37°C (40.0%), with lower probabilities for 35°C or 38°C reflecting uncertainty in whether modest Atlantic moisture or slight wind shifts will cap the peak. Historical June climatology for Retiro station shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the amplified ridge. Traders are weighting the latest 48-hour model runs and AEMET updates most heavily ahead of the final 24-hour verification window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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