Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 밀라노에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 29일 밀라노에서 가장 높은 온도는?
35°C or below 59%
36°C 26%
37°C 13.5%
38°C 4.0%
신규
신규
2026.06.29
35°C or below
59%
36°C
26%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
35°C or below 59%
36°C 26%
37°C 13.5%
38°C 4.0%
신규
신규
2026.06.29
35°C or below
$989 거래량
59%
36°C
$1,330 거래량
26%
37°C
$1,321 거래량
14%
38°C
$1,210 거래량
4%
39°C
$386 거래량
<1%
40°C
$175 거래량
<1%
41°C
$365 거래량
<1%
42°C
$610 거래량
<1%
43°C
$610 거래량
<1%
44°C
$610 거래량
<1%
45°C or higher
$387 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$7,992종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$7,992종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from ECMWF and national meteorological services project a daily maximum of 36–38°C in Milan on June 29, driven by subtropical high pressure with light westerly flow and limited cloud cover. However, ensemble guidance shows potential for isolated afternoon convection or increased boundary-layer moisture, which could cap surface heating below model consensus and favor outcomes at or below 35°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71.5% probability on that bin, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in late-June heat plumes over the Po Valley. Upcoming model runs and observational updates through June 28 will refine land-sea breeze and instability parameters critical to peak temperature resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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