Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and European forecasts points to a mild mid-June pattern over southern Germany, with westerly flow, sunny intervals, and light winds favoring a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 15. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–23°C for the period, absent any strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection that could push readings higher. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further support the tight clustering around 21–23°C in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance through June 14 shows no significant shifts, keeping extremes like 19°C or 24°C+ as low-probability outliers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 43%
21°C 31%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
$14,136 거래량
$14,136 거래량
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
31%
22°C
43%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
21°C 31%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
$14,136 거래량
$14,136 거래량
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
31%
22°C
43%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and European forecasts points to a mild mid-June pattern over southern Germany, with westerly flow, sunny intervals, and light winds favoring a daily maximum near 22°C in Munich on June 15. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–23°C for the period, absent any strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection that could push readings higher. Low precipitation risk and moderate humidity further support the tight clustering around 21–23°C in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range guidance through June 14 shows no significant shifts, keeping extremes like 19°C or 24°C+ as low-probability outliers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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