Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. These conditions produce the tight market split between the 21°C (49%) and 22°C (42.5%) outcomes, as modest differences in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 21–23°C provide context, but current model consensus and early-day observations anchor trader probabilities, with lower odds for 23°C or higher reflecting suppressed instability and minimal advection of warmer air. Updated model runs and official DWD observations will refine resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 뮌헨에서 가장 높은 온도는?
22°C 47%
21°C 44%
23°C 5%
24°C <1%
$59,973 거래량
$59,973 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
45%
22°C
47%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 44%
23°C 5%
24°C <1%
$59,973 거래량
$59,973 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
45%
22°C
47%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daily maximum near 21–22°C in Munich on June 14, 2026, under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. These conditions produce the tight market split between the 21°C (49%) and 22°C (42.5%) outcomes, as modest differences in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 21–23°C provide context, but current model consensus and early-day observations anchor trader probabilities, with lower odds for 23°C or higher reflecting suppressed instability and minimal advection of warmer air. Updated model runs and official DWD observations will refine resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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