Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 100.0%
24°C 이하 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,246 거래량
$120,246 거래량
24°C 이하
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C 이상
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C 이하 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$120,246 거래량
$120,246 거래량
24°C 이하
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data from Beijing surface stations and updated model runs have converged on a daily maximum of 28°C, anchoring the market-implied probability near 100% for that exact outcome. Light easterly flow, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing following overnight showers have limited daytime heating below earlier ensemble projections of 29–30°C, aligning with climatological June averages near 30°C while reflecting today's specific synoptic setup. The China Meteorological Administration's official verification will resolve the market, and traders' real-capital consensus incorporates this evidence with high confidence. Only a late-day measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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