**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 선전에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 14일 선전에서 가장 높은 온도는?
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,040 거래량
$92,040 거래량
2026.06.14
24°C 이하
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C 이상
<1%
31°C 99.5%
32°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,040 거래량
$92,040 거래량
2026.06.14
24°C 이하
$440 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,414 거래량
<1%
26°C
$7,970 거래량
<1%
27°C
$16,571 거래량
<1%
28°C
$12,650 거래량
<1%
29°C
$11,880 거래량
<1%
30°C
$16,197 거래량
<1%
31°C
$10,775 거래량
100%
32°C
$6,936 거래량
<1%
33°C
$6,376 거래량
<1%
34°C 이상
$6,745 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$92,040종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$92,040종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting model agreement and typical mid-June climatology.** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical monsoon climate, daytime highs normally reach 30–32°C during this period, driven by strong solar heating, southerly monsoon flow, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current forecasts from multiple agencies show afternoon maxima near 30–31°C (87°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, consistent with the market-implied odds. The near-certainty stems from stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of extreme heat or cooling events. Only a significant, unexpected shift—such as prolonged clear skies boosting insolation or an unforecast cold front—could realistically push the high outside the narrow 30–32°C band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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