Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Seoul on June 16 settling in the upper 20s Celsius under mostly stable high-pressure influence, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest daytime warming. Ensemble model consensus aligns with historical mid-June climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C) while incorporating current sea-surface temperatures and regional circulation patterns that have kept extreme heat at bay so far this season. Trader positioning around 28–29 °C reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days before the event, when model spread narrows and any late adjustments to insolation or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the daily maximum. Updated guidance expected from KMA and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely tighten these implied probabilities further.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 38%
29°C 24%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
38%
29°C
24%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 38%
29°C 24%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
38%
29°C
24%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to daytime highs in Seoul on June 16 settling in the upper 20s Celsius under mostly stable high-pressure influence, with limited moisture and light winds supporting modest daytime warming. Ensemble model consensus aligns with historical mid-June climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C) while incorporating current sea-surface temperatures and regional circulation patterns that have kept extreme heat at bay so far this season. Trader positioning around 28–29 °C reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days before the event, when model spread narrows and any late adjustments to insolation or boundary-layer mixing would most directly affect the daily maximum. Updated guidance expected from KMA and global ensembles over the next 24 hours will likely tighten these implied probabilities further.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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